Forecast Revenue and earnings outcome Using Event-Driven Score One major use case of events direction using NLP and big-data is the prediction of quarterly financial performance which reflects the company’s operational activities. In this case study, we tested the 2Q 2018 financial announcements using event-driven score aggregation to predict companies’ 2Q financial performance. To do so, we generated an event-driven score for companies using 04.01-06.30.18 (2Q) period as well [...]

Earnings Beat Forecast Using Event-Driven Score Corporate events can be used as an indicator to forecast companies' earnings. Events such M&A, new deals, new orders, partnerships, ESG, regulatory decisions, management and stakeholders’ changes, expansions to new markets or product categories, new products, price changes, new agreements, FDA decisions, financial reports related events and more reflect the companies' ongoing operation during a certain period. To demonstrate the predictive power of event [...]

Semiconductor industry outlook “Three-quarters of the way through 2018, the global semiconductor industry is on pace to post its highest-ever annual sales, comfortably topping last year’s record total of $412 billion,” said John Neuffer, president and CEO, Semiconductor Industry Association. “While year-to-year growth has tapered in recent months, September marked the global industry’s highest-ever monthly sales, and Q3 was its top-grossing quarter on record. Year-to-year sales in September were [...]

Using Corporate Events To Forecast Financial Outcomes In today’s reporting session, it is essential to be able to track corporate events such as M&A, new deals, partnerships, ESG, regulatory decisions, management and stakeholders’ changes, expansions to new markets or product categories, new products, price changes, new agreements, FDA decisions, financial reports related events, macroeconomics and much more… as they have prediction power on companies' financial reports, specifically, the direction [...]

This is how our system notify about the US market correction 2 days before it happens After a 5% correction in the US market, we analyze our system to see if we could know it before it happens Our system can generate market, sectors, industries, ETFs event-driven score based on the aggregated events of the companies within it. The recent market correction was correlated with our model; therefore, our [...]

Industry analysis - Medical Devices case study US medical device makers could lose $138 million this year as a result of the 25 percent US tariffs on Chinese imported goods that went into effect from July, and they may cause some manufacturers to downsize and cut research and development. "We estimate that the imposition of additional 25 percent duties will impact approximately $836 million worth of medical technology entering [...]

Equity event analysis - Apple case study Apple ($AAPL) unveiled not just one new version of the iPhone X, but three, in its biggest event of the year. Among the trio is Apple’s largest ever phone – the iPhone Xs Max – which features the biggest display that Apple has ever put in a phone. Many details about that new phone, including its shiny gold color, were accidentally leaked by Apple ahead of the event. The other two [...]

ESG event category - AT&T case study AT&T ($T) has suffered a data breach that compromised some details of about 3% of its total 77 million users or about 2 million customers which the personal information of millions of its users, including phone numbers, e-mail addresses, and account numbers, were exposed to hackers. This type of event classified as ESG category which has implications on the stocks price more and more [...]

PE ratio and event-driven scoring  - the apparel manufacturers case study Apparel production, also known as garment production is a process where the fabric is being converted into garments. The term apparel production is basically used when garments are manufactured in a factory. Traditionally apparel manufacturing factories have been divided into two sectors as domestic and export. In this case study, we compared companies in the US apparel manufacturers industry by their PE ratio vs the event-driven scoring based on [...]

PepsiCo VS Coca-Cola As the beverage industry undergoes a transformation with carbonated soft drinks losing their position and consumers preferring “healthier” beverages, cola giants have focused their attention on other avenues to spur their sales. One such route is the sparkling water category which has witnessed spectacular growth rates. PepsiCo launched its own sparkling water brand called Bubly. Given the enormous interest in this space, PepsiCo’s $3.2 billion acquisition of SodaStream, [...]

Why we don't use personal account tracing on social media Using event extraction from a personal account on Twitter can be a risky method for news sentiment assessment. This week, we got a very good example of why we don't cover personal twitter account on our platform. On Aug 07, Tesla CEO Alon Musk tweets he is 'considering' taking the company private, investor react immediately and increase and entering the [...]

ESG events case study The importance of environmental, social and governance (ESG) factors, in investment decision making, as Boston Consulting Group point out in their article; Investors Care More About Sustainability Than Many Executives Believe, that 75% of senior executives in investment firms see ESG factors as materially important to their investment decision. The disconnect is evident that only 60% of companies have a sustainability strategy, and just 25% have [...]

Twitter case study Twitter shares finished Friday 20% down at market close after reporting a decline in monthly active users during the second quarter. The trouble here isn't revenue (it beat estimates) or earnings (it hit its number). Instead, it's about a decline in "monthly active users," a figure that was depressed for reasons like new privacy rules in Europe, a purging of fake/abusive accounts, and not moving to [...]

Facebook case study Facebook was the most-loved holding of hedge funds before the stock's epic plunge on Thursday, resulting in a massive multibillion-dollar loss for the so-called smart money on Wall Street. According to CNBC, 848 hedge funds tracked by Goldman Sachs, 97 had Facebook as a top 10 holding, according to the firm's May "Hedge Fund Trend Monitor" report. The note, tracking $1.6 trillion in hedge fund long [...]